EPSA 2025, Madrid
June 27, 2025
Question: Why did membership in the DNSAP surge after the German occupation?Argument:
Data & Method:
Results:
General Incentive Model: Political participation is driven by rational cost-benefit calculations (e.g. Whiteley et al. 2021; Poletti, Webb, and Bale 2019)Beyond Ideology: Party membership under can reflect self-interest rather than ideological alignmentself-preservation, not ideologyDenmark 🇩🇰:
opportunism hypothesis: strategic entry into the party under the uncertainty of the invasion to secure position, future benefits
DNSAP member list
gender, inferred from first nameslocation, Google’s geolocation APIeducation and skill level, job sector with ChatGPT APIclass, HISCO classification matchingregression discontinuity design (RDD):
Mixed evidence for opportunism:
Normalization:
Next steps:
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